Where consensus is wrong
and the payoff is convex.
Asymmetry Research publishes daily institutional-quality macro and options research for investors who refuse to confuse activity with edge. We hunt for setups where we can be wrong cheaply and right enormously.
Read the research → What we believeWhat you get
Daily Signal Brief
One regime read, one setup, one thesis. Published before the open. No filler, no hedging, no horoscopes.
Weekly Institutional Note
Six pages. Quad framework, positioning, vol surface, and the trade we'd put on with our own money — because we do.
Live Calls
Real setups posted on X in real time. Track record built in public, not in a backtest.
What we believe
Convexity over conviction. The best trades pay 10× when right and lose 1× when wrong. Conviction without convexity is just expensive opinion.
Regime first, ticker last. Macro decides which game you're playing. The ticker is the smallest decision, not the biggest.
Five gates or no trade. Catalyst, structure, positioning, vol, and price. Skip a gate and you're gambling.
Skin in the game. Every trade we publish is one we'd put on ourselves. Most we already have.
Cheap to be wrong. If your loss isn't small, your edge isn't real.
Voice over volume. One sharp page beats forty bullet points. We write to be remembered, not retweeted.
"The market pays for being uncomfortably right, not comfortably wrong with everyone else."— Asymmetry Research, founding note